2012-09-26
post/32334563912
quote 17:54:00
“ Since the conventions, we’ve had Obama go from about a 70% chance to win, moving up to 80%, then down to 75%. If you’re comfortable with probability, it gives you a way to measure things along a spectrum. The mainstream coverage went from “this race is too close to call” to “Romney is doomed.” But being realistic about it, if you look at websites where you can bet on these things and at bookmaker’s odds, then Obama’s odds went up a little bit from 70% to 75%, but it’s not a night-and-day difference. ”
Nate Silver, interviewed by election.tumblr.com.
